Are Agricultural Options Overpriced?

By: Urcola, Hernan A.; Irwin, Scott H.
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Citation

Urcola, Hernan A.; Irwin, Scott H., Are Agricultural Options Overpriced?, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Volume 36, Issue 1, April 2011, Pages 63-77

As agricultural options markets grow, perceptions of overpricing persist among market participants. This study tests the efficiency of corn, soybean, and wheat options by computing trading returns. Several call and put option strategies yield significant profits, but returns are influenced by movements in the futures price, and straddle trading does not lead to significant returns. The combined analysis of put, call, and straddle returns indicates that significant returns can be attributed to drifts in the underlying futures, and that the corn, soybean, and wheat options markets are efficient.