Impact of the Grassland Ecological Compensation Policy on Herders’ Development Resilience to Climate Change

We investigate the relationship between herders’ development resilience to climate change and grassland ecological compensation policy (GECP). Using a three-period panel dataset of 679 herders in China, we find that the development resilience of 44% of herders is lower than the overall average. Climate change has a nonlinear effect on herders’ development resilience, while GECP enhances development resilience and significantly mitigates the adverse effects of temperature change. The mechanism analysis shows that supplementary feeding, nonfarm employment, and grassland transfer are influencing paths, and the synergistic effect of climate change and GECP is realized by influencing herders’ grassland transfer.